Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.282055 0.328392 0.379588 0.440300 0.510286 0.588386 0.682107
2025-04-20 0.206408 0.268708 0.345089 0.445390 0.573395 0.731050 0.939723
2025-04-27 0.172951 0.243789 0.337286 0.469205 0.649981 0.888408 1.226080
2025-05-04 0.147679 0.222240 0.326784 0.483192 0.710265 1.026772 1.500063
2025-05-11 0.126648 0.201836 0.312974 0.487948 0.754999 1.145393 1.757081
2025-05-18 0.108729 0.182513 0.296903 0.485454 0.786416 1.245504 1.995351
2025-05-25 0.093593 0.164836 0.280255 0.478705 0.808750 1.332138 2.219982
2025-06-01 0.081878 0.150800 0.267120 0.475095 0.834350 1.424790 2.461780
2025-06-08 0.070150 0.134865 0.248444 0.459242 0.836749 1.478582 2.643502
2025-06-15 0.067051 0.133922 0.255427 0.488512 0.919429 1.674250 3.084346
2025-06-22 0.058182 0.120835 0.238783 0.472788 0.919622 1.726340 3.278002
2025-06-29 0.050738 0.109413 0.223700 0.457874 0.919070 1.776060 3.470822
2025-07-06 0.044224 0.099079 0.209678 0.443810 0.919525 1.829493 3.679885
2025-07-13 0.040404 0.093861 0.205223 0.448351 0.957071 1.957049 4.044352
2025-07-20 0.038795 0.093192 0.209982 0.472294 1.036157 2.172537 4.601946
2025-07-27 0.036458 0.090530 0.210129 0.486368 1.096128 2.355470 5.111555
2025-08-03 0.033631 0.086299 0.206278 0.491154 1.136626 2.502214 5.560324
2025-08-10 0.030600 0.081116 0.199588 0.488644 1.160628 2.616282 5.950314
2025-08-17 0.027630 0.075635 0.191496 0.481852 1.174112 2.708813 6.302217
2025-08-24 0.025181 0.071111 0.185089 0.478220 1.194311 2.817627 6.699873
2025-08-31 0.022319 0.065064 0.174177 0.462266 1.183605 2.856069 6.942273
2025-09-07 0.022076 0.066095 0.181157 0.491721 1.285528 3.160953 7.825412
2025-09-14 0.019660 0.060691 0.170890 0.475898 1.274032 3.200446 8.089679